+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Smith
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
1.64 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
4.09 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
25% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Smith
43%
Gaethje
57%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Smith Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Smith Tactics
Prospect"Colton Smith shows promise as a grappler with a strong takedown game, but his striking skills and defensive grappling need improvement."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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