+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Neal
Southpaw Striker
70" Reach 75"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 5.02
51% Strike Defense 57%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.54
74% Takedown Defense 87%
Win Probability
Gaethje
49%
Neal
51%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Neal ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume —
— Strike Defense Neal ▲
— Takedown Defense Neal ▲
— Grappling Output Neal ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Neal Tactics
Elite"Geoff Neal is a high-volume striker with a strong record and impressive striking stats, making him a top contender."