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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Edwards

Southpaw Balanced
70" Reach 74"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.6
51% Strike Defense 52%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1.25
74% Takedown Defense 63%

Win Probability

Gaethje
53%
Edwards
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Edwards ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Edwards ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Edwards Tactics

Veteran

"Leon Edwards is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but his stats reveal a lack of dominance in any particular area, making him a consistent but unremarkable performer."

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