+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Nolan
Southpaw Striker
70" Reach 73"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 5.87
51% Strike Defense 48%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.74
74% Takedown Defense 71%
Win Probability
Gaethje
49%
Nolan
51%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Nolan ▲
— Grappling Output Nolan ▲
— Win Rate Nolan ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Nolan Tactics
Contender"Tom Nolan is a rising contender with explosive striking and improving grappling skills, making him a formidable opponent in the lightweight division."