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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rodriguez

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
4.65 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
0.71 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
59% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rodriguez
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Rodriguez Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Rodriguez Tactics

Veteran

"A veteran fighter with a strong striking game and a high volume of strikes, but limited grappling experience."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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