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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Saragih

Orthodox Wushu
70" Reach 69"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.75
51% Strike Defense 40%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2.17
74% Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Gaethje
53%
Saragih
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
Grappling Output Saragih ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Wushu

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Saragih Tactics

Contender

"Jeka Saragih is a grappling specialist with a strong record, but his striking skills are limited."

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