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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Roberts

Orthodox Balanced
70" Reach 73"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.84
51% Strike Defense 52%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1.18
74% Takedown Defense 50%

Win Probability

Gaethje
58%
Roberts
42%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Roberts ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Roberts ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Roberts Tactics

Journeyman

"Roosevelt Roberts is a journeyman fighter with a mediocre record and balanced skillset, but lacks a clear statistical advantage, making him a mid-tier fighter in the 155lbs division."

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