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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Berger

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
36% Strike Defense 51%
0.84 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
16% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Berger
36%
Gaethje
64%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Berger Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Berger Tactics

Veteran

"Steve Berger is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes, but his grappling skills are somewhat limited, making him a threat in the stand-up but vulnerable on the ground."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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