+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Waters
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 77"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 6.39
51% Strike Defense 55%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.4
74% Takedown Defense 85%
Win Probability
Gaethje
52%
Waters
48%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Waters ▲
— Takedown Defense Waters ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Waters Tactics
Journeyman"Trey Waters is a fighter with inconsistent striking and grappling stats, making it difficult to assess his overall skill level."