+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Nelson
Switch Grappler
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 1.77
51% Strike Defense 48%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2
74% Takedown Defense 68%
Win Probability
Gaethje
54%
Nelson
46%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Nelson ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume —
— Grappling Output Nelson ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Grappler
"Striker vs Grappler — Classic MMA clash. If the fight stays standing, the striker holds the edge. Takedown defense will be decisive."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Nelson Tactics
Veteran"Gunnar Nelson is a skilled grappler with a strong submission game and solid wrestling skills, but his striking is not his strong suit."
More Matchups To Explore
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