+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Patterson
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
78" Reach 70"
3.89 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
49% Strike Defense 51%
1.39 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
33% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Patterson
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Patterson Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Patterson Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Patterson Tactics
Contender"Sam Patterson is a skilled grappler with a strong record and impressive submission game, making him a legitimate contender in the welterweight division."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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