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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Elliott

Orthodox Balanced
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.62
51% Strike Defense 61%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1.52
74% Takedown Defense 52%

Win Probability

Gaethje
51%
Elliott
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Elliott ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Strike Defense Elliott ▲
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Elliott ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Elliott Tactics

Contender

"Oban Elliott is a promising fighter with a strong record and decent skills in both striking and grappling, making him a contender in the 170lbs division."

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