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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Griffin

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
3.7 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
1.44 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
69% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Griffin
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Griffin Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Griffin Strike Defense
▲ Griffin Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Griffin Tactics

Veteran

"Max Griffin is a well-rounded veteran fighter with a strong record, but his skills have declined with age, making him a gatekeeper in the 170lbs division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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