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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gooden

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 77"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.4
51% Strike Defense 45%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.91
74% Takedown Defense 65%

Win Probability

Gaethje
54%
Gooden
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gooden ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
Grappling Output Gooden ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Gooden Tactics

Veteran

"Jared Gooden is a veteran fighter with a high volume of strikes, but may struggle with defense and grappling."

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