+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Nilsson
Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Judo, Submission Wrestling, Shootfighting, Muay Thai, Kickboxing
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.99 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
63% Strike Defense 51%
3.87 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
44% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Nilsson
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Nilsson Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Nilsson Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Judo, Submission Wrestling, Shootfighting, Muay Thai, Kickboxing VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Nilsson Tactics
Veteran"Mats Nilsson is a skilled grappler with a strong record, but his striking skills are somewhat underdeveloped, making him a mid-tier competitor."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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