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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Pichel

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.78
51% Strike Defense 54%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2.5
74% Takedown Defense 31%

Win Probability

Gaethje
54%
Pichel
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Pichel ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Pichel ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Pichel Tactics

Veteran

"Vinc Pichel is a seasoned veteran with a well-rounded skillset, capable of competing in both striking and grappling exchanges as he navigates the later stages of his career."

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