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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Johnson

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
2.47 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
64% Strike Defense 51%
1.54 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
62% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Johnson
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Johnson Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Johnson Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Johnson Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Johnson Tactics

Veteran

"Kajan Johnson is a seasoned fighter with a decent record, but his striking and grappling skills are somewhat unbalanced and his defense is suspect."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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