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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Lopes

Orthodox Balanced
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.83
51% Strike Defense 45%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.88
74% Takedown Defense 68%

Win Probability

Gaethje
53%
Lopes
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Lopes ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
Grappling Output Lopes ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Lopes Tactics

Veteran

"Diego Lopes is a veteran fighter with a long record and well-rounded skills, but his stats are not particularly impressive, making him a veteran presence in the 145lbs division."

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