+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Kotau
N/A Unknown
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.94 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
6.57 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Kotau
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Kotau Takedown Defense —
▲ Kotau Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Unknown VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Kotau Tactics
Unknown"Ilya Kotau is a relatively untested fighter with extremely high grappling skills, but his striking skills are still developing."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."