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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Rowe

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 80"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.51
51% Strike Defense 50%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.46
74% Takedown Defense 53%

Win Probability

Gaethje
59%
Rowe
41%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Rowe ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Rowe Tactics

Journeyman

"Phil Rowe has a decent record but lacks a clear advantage in either striking or grappling, making him a journeyman in the 170lbs division."

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