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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Souza

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
4.65 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Souza
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Souza Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Souza Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Souza Tactics

Prospect

"An aggressive striker with extremely high output and decent accuracy, but completely lacking in grappling skills and takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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