+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Szalay
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 66"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.94
51% Strike Defense 65%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.51
74% Takedown Defense 84%
Win Probability
Gaethje
49%
Szalay
51%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Gaethje Reach Advantage —
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume —
— Strike Defense Szalay ▲
— Grappling Output Szalay ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Szalay Tactics
Contender"Sebastian Szalay is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record and decent striking and grappling skills, but he lacks a clear identity and may struggle against top-level opponents."
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