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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Garcia

Southpaw Striker
70" Reach 75"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 5.39
51% Strike Defense 59%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.86
74% Takedown Defense 88%

Win Probability

Gaethje
50%
Garcia
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Garcia ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Strike Defense Garcia ▲
Takedown Defense Garcia ▲
Grappling Output Garcia ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Garcia Tactics

Veteran

"Steve Garcia is a seasoned veteran with a strong striking game, but his grappling vulnerabilities and advanced age may hinder his ability to compete at the highest level."

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