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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Condit

Orthodox Kickboxing
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
3.66 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
0.59 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
38% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Condit
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Condit Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Condit Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Kickboxing VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Condit Tactics

Elite

"Carlos Condit is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking and grappling game, capable of competing at the highest level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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