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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Mullarkey

Orthodox Brazilian jiu-jitsu
70" Reach 74"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.1
51% Strike Defense 54%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2.46
74% Takedown Defense 70%

Win Probability

Gaethje
53%
Mullarkey
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Mullarkey ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Grappling Output Mullarkey ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Brazilian jiu-jitsu

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Mullarkey Tactics

Veteran

"Jamie Mullarkey is a well-rounded veteran fighter with a balanced skillset and a strong chin, but lacks a clear dominant style to take his career to the next level."

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