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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Tsarukyan

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.85 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
3.26 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
75% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Tsarukyan
53%
Gaethje
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Tsarukyan Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Tsarukyan Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Tsarukyan Tactics

Elite

"Arman Tsarukyan is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking game and a high volume of strikes, but his grappling defense is a weakness."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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