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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Winner

Orthodox Boxing, Kyokushin Karate
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.52 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
74% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Winner
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Winner Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Boxing, Kyokushin Karate VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Winner Tactics

Veteran

"Andre Winner is a seasoned striker with a high level of defensive expertise, but his offense has declined with age and he struggles with takedowns."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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