Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Machado Garry

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 74"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.78
51% Strike Defense 52%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.92
74% Takedown Defense 80%

Win Probability

Gaethje
46%
Machado Garry
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Machado Garry ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Grappling Output Machado Garry ▲
Win Rate Machado Garry ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Machado Garry Tactics

Elite

"Ian Machado Garry is a rising star with exceptional striking skills, poised to make a significant impact in the 170lbs division."

More Matchups To Explore