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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Yoshida

Southpaw Judo
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
0.85 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
36% Strike Defense 51%
1.41 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
25% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Yoshida
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Yoshida Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Judo VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Yoshida Tactics

Veteran

"Yoshiyuki Yoshida is a seasoned grappler with a strong submission game, but vulnerable to striking."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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