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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Ashmouz

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
2.88 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
3.24 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
64% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Ashmouz
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Ashmouz Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Ashmouz Tactics

Prospect

"Yanal Ashmouz is a promising young grappler with a strong takedown game, but his limited experience and striking defense may be areas for improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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