+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Machine
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.32 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
1.16 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
40% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Machine
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Machine Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Machine Tactics
Veteran"War Machine is a highly skilled striker with a strong record, but his grappling numbers are a concern, suggesting he may struggle against top-level grapplers."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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