+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Rocha
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.64 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
1.4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Rocha
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Rocha Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Rocha Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Rocha Tactics
Veteran"Vagner Rocha is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking background and respectable grappling skills, making him a competitive opponent in the lightweight division."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."