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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Pineda

Orthodox Balanced
70" Reach 69"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.85
51% Strike Defense 45%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1.42
74% Takedown Defense 54%

Win Probability

Gaethje
56%
Pineda
44%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Pineda ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Pineda Tactics

Veteran

"Daniel Pineda is a seasoned grappler with a wealth of experience and a knack for submissions."

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