+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Ferguson
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
4.91 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
0.39 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Ferguson
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Ferguson Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Ferguson Tactics
Veteran"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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