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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

DeSouza

Southpaw Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Boxing
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
1.12 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
41% Strike Defense 51%
2.25 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
40% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

DeSouza
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ DeSouza Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Boxing VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

DeSouza Tactics

Veteran

"Tony DeSouza is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking and grappling background, making him a versatile opponent who can adapt to different situations."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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