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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Speer

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
2.56 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
35% Strike Defense 51%
2.02 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
33% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Speer
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Speer Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Speer Tactics

Veteran

"Tommy Speer is a seasoned striker with a high volume of strikes landed and attempted, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and he struggles with takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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