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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Nolan

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
5.87 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
0.74 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
71% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Nolan
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Nolan Reach Advantage
▲ Nolan Grappling Output
▲ Nolan Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Nolan Tactics

Contender

"Tom Nolan is a rising contender with explosive striking and improving grappling skills, making him a formidable opponent in the lightweight division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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