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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

O'Brien

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.77 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
57% Strike Defense 51%
0.94 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

O'Brien
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ O'Brien Strike Defense
▲ O'Brien Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

O'Brien Tactics

Elite

"TJ O'Brien is an elite-level striker with incredible power and accuracy, but his grappling skills are virtually non-existent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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