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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Brown

Switch Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.37 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
49% Strike Defense 51%
3.41 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
36% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Brown
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Brown Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Brown Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Brown Tactics

Veteran

"TJ Brown is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking and grappling background, making him a formidable opponent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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