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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gouti

Orthodox Unknown
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.68 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
1.23 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
83% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Gouti
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gouti Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Gouti Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Unknown VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gouti Tactics

Veteran

"Thibault Gouti is a limited fighter with poor striking and grappling skills, but has managed to win a few fights in his career."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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