+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Alves
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
3.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
0.71 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Alves
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Alves Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Alves Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Alves Tactics
Veteran"Thiago Alves is a seasoned striker with a strong offense, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped, and his record suggests he may be past his prime."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."