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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Urbina

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 75"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 5.57
51% Strike Defense 44%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2.86
74% Takedown Defense N/A

Win Probability

Gaethje
53%
Urbina
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Urbina ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
Grappling Output Urbina ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Urbina Tactics

Contender

"Gilbert Urbina is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but his inconsistent record holds him back from reaching his full potential."

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