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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Saika

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
6.67 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Saika
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Saika Reach Advantage
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Saika Tactics

Prospect

"Tatsuya Saika is a developing striker with a penchant for aggressive offense, but struggles with defensive striking and takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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