+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Smith
Southpaw Grappler
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 6.89
51% Strike Defense 47%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 7.78
74% Takedown Defense 100%
Win Probability
Gaethje
42%
Smith
58%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Smith ▲
— Takedown Defense Smith ▲
— Grappling Output Smith ▲
— Win Rate Smith ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Grappler
"Striker vs Grappler — Classic MMA clash. If the fight stays standing, the striker holds the edge. Takedown defense will be decisive."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Smith Tactics
Elite"Jacobe Smith is a highly skilled grappler with a dominant ground game and decent striking skills, making him a formidable opponent."
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