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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Kawajiri

Orthodox Kickboxing judo
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
2.04 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
3.63 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Kawajiri
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Kawajiri Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Kickboxing judo VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Kawajiri Tactics

Veteran

"Tatsuya Kawajiri is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking and grappling game, making him a formidable opponent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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