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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Lopez

Orthodox Unknown
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.39 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
37% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Lopez
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Lopez Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Unknown VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Lopez Tactics

Journeyman

"Steve Lopez is a fighter with a limited skillset, struggling with both striking and grappling, making him a tough matchup for most opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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