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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Rakhmonov

Orthodox Balanced
70" Reach 77"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.25
51% Strike Defense 51%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1.4
74% Takedown Defense 85%

Win Probability

Gaethje
48%
Rakhmonov
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Rakhmonov ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Takedown Defense Rakhmonov ▲
Grappling Output Rakhmonov ▲
Win Rate Rakhmonov ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Rakhmonov Tactics

Contender

"Shavkat Rakhmonov is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but lacks a clear statistical advantage in either striking or grappling."

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