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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Haraguchi

Switch Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
2.02 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
12.32 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Haraguchi
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Haraguchi Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Haraguchi Tactics

Veteran

"Shin Haraguchi is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and may leave him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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