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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Smotritsky

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
3.52 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
3.52 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Smotritsky
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Smotritsky Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Smotritsky Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Smotritsky Tactics

Prospect

"Shimon Smotritsky is an aggressive striker with a high volume and takedown average, but his accuracy and defense are concerns."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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