+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Roller
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.04 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
2.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
42% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Roller
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Roller Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Roller Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Roller Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Roller Tactics
Veteran"Shane Roller is a grappler with strong takedown skills and decent submission threats, but his striking defense is a concern."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."